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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.44+9.97vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.44+9.09vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College0.49+11.50vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.70+1.70vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.24+6.38vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.93+2.77vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.70-1.24vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.73+1.45vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54+1.37vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.62-3.81vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.65-0.97vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-1.60vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.89-4.28vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.55-7.90vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.77-5.60vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.28-4.45vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.30-5.48vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-8.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.97Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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11.09Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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14.5SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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5.7Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.38University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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8.77Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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5.76Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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9.45George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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10.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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6.19Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.03North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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10.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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6.1Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.55Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Wisconsin1.300.0%1st Place
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9.1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiare Sierra | 3.8% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 36.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.4% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Camille McGriff | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Grace Gear | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 8.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.