← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.62+5.25vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University2.70+3.85vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.55+3.39vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.65+5.82vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.28+6.35vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University1.73+3.69vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.24+4.58vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+1.21vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.70-3.41vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University1.93-1.01vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.44-0.05vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.89-2.77vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.44-2.39vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.71-4.62vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-4.69vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin1.30-4.51vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63-6.86vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College0.49-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.25Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
-
5.85Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
6.39Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
-
9.82North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
-
11.35Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
-
9.69George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
-
11.58University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
-
9.21St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
-
5.59Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
-
8.99Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
-
10.95Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
-
9.23University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
-
10.61Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
-
9.38Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
-
10.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
-
11.49University of Wisconsin1.300.0%1st Place
-
10.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
-
14.17SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% |
| Grace Gear | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Payton Canavan | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Camille McGriff | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.