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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+5.24vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.44+9.01vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+6.51vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.24+7.43vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.30+6.22vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.55+0.27vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.49+7.25vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.93+0.66vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+0.97vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.44+1.02vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.70-5.15vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-1.25vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.71-3.46vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.65-4.45vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.73-5.45vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.70-10.17vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.89-7.93vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.28-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.01Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.51St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.0%1st Place
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11.43University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Wisconsin1.300.0%1st Place
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6.27Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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14.25SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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8.66Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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11.02Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.85Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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9.55North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.55George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.83Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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11.27Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% |
| Katherine Bennett | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 15.8% | 34.5% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Payton Canavan | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 13.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Camille McGriff | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Olivia Sowa | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.