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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+4.96vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.65+7.78vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+3.18vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.93+4.29vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+5.29vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.70-0.50vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.71+2.27vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.63+1.52vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.44+1.32vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.30+1.16vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.73-1.63vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.70-6.25vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-4.21vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.54-4.36vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.28-4.03vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.08-0.88vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.24-5.70vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College0.49-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.78North Carolina State University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.18Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.29Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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10.29Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.5Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.630.0%1st Place
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10.32Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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11.16University of Wisconsin1.300.0%1st Place
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9.37George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.75Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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8.79St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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9.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.540.0%1st Place
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10.97Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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15.12University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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11.3University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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13.78SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.6% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 12.5% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Claire Siegel-Wilson | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Hailey Feinzig | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.3% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Camille McGriff | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 41.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 6.3% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 18.7% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.