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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+2.87vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+5.43vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.16+3.77vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+5.97vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.01+5.97vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.91+1.55vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.20+3.38vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.43-2.33vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.72+3.22vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-3.11vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.69-2.44vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.46-2.33vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.76-1.12vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.57-5.38vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.43-1.81vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.14-5.33vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.76-4.82vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.01-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.77Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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10.97Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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7.55University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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10.38Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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5.67Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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12.22Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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8.56Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.67North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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11.88University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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8.62Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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13.19University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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10.67Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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12.18George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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14.5SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 20.7% | 20.3% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Megan Geith | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Meredith Moran | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 8.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 17.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.