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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.37+5.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+8.91vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+2.26vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.85+0.88vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.39+1.46vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.51+4.06vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.06+4.08vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.94+0.34vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.07+3.67vs Predicted
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101.42+0.30vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.59+0.15vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.85-3.69vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.58-6.95vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.48-4.28vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-6.31vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.20-5.40vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.59-4.04vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-0.96-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Brown University2.377.8%1st Place
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10.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.402.5%1st Place
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5.26Yale University2.7112.2%1st Place
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4.88Yale University2.8514.8%1st Place
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6.46Dartmouth College2.3910.1%1st Place
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10.06Tufts University1.514.4%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont1.062.9%1st Place
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8.34Roger Williams University1.946.0%1st Place
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12.67Boston University1.072.2%1st Place
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10.31.423.9%1st Place
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11.15Northeastern University1.592.8%1st Place
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8.31Harvard University1.855.4%1st Place
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6.05Boston College2.5811.0%1st Place
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9.72Bowdoin College1.484.2%1st Place
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8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.2%1st Place
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10.6Connecticut College1.203.1%1st Place
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12.96Fairfield University0.592.4%1st Place
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16.71Olin College of Engineering-0.960.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.2% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Porter Bell | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 7.0% |
| Henry Lee | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Harrison Strom | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 1.7% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 7.5% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 69.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.