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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida4.17+4.13vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego2.19+13.20vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley2.60+9.64vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.50+4.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.78+6.66vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+0.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.83+4.44vs Predicted
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8University of Washington2.87+2.79vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.36-0.39vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.72+8.01vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.69-3.88vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University2.36+2.78vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University2.02+2.16vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis2.13+0.33vs Predicted
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16University of Puget Sound1.26+4.46vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon2.76-5.43vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-4.43vs Predicted
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19University of Hawaii2.92-7.95vs Predicted
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20University of Southern California2.57-6.96vs Predicted
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21Western Washington University1.88-3.81vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego1.78-4.43vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley1.18-1.87vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay2.30-9.16vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-6.86vs Predicted
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27California State University Channel Islands1.09-5.70vs Predicted
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29University of Oregon1.22-8.65vs Predicted
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30University of Texas1.46-10.68vs Predicted
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31Purdue University0.21-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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15.2University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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12.64University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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8.1Stanford University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.66University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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6.9California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
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11.44University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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10.79University of Washington2.870.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Hawaii3.360.1%1st Place
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18.01University of California at Los Angeles1.720.0%1st Place
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7.12Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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14.78Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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16.16Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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15.33University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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20.46University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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11.57University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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13.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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11.05University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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13.04University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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17.19Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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17.57University of California at San Diego1.780.0%1st Place
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21.13University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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14.84California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
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18.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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21.3California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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20.35University of Oregon1.220.0%1st Place
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19.32University of Texas1.460.0%1st Place
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24.6Purdue University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Marks | 14.0% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Cody Shevitz | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nick Dugdale | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Foster | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kelly | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Porter | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Bozina | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Judge Ryan | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Bryan Rust | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Mike Knape | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 8.8% |
| Elliot Drake | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Keely Scates | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Hester | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Megan Hayes | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% |
| Bradley Schoch | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Maher | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Andrew Domingos | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 10.2% |
| Cara Kuhlman | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% |
| George Halsted | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.