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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+2.86vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.16+4.80vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.69+5.65vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.76+7.95vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.43+0.67vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+4.09vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57+1.85vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.01+3.01vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.76+3.08vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-3.15vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.98-3.60vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.14-1.10vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.91-5.59vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.46-4.96vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.01-0.39vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.20-5.59vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.43-3.67vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.72-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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6.8Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.65Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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5.67Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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8.85Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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11.01Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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12.08George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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6.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.9Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.41University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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9.04North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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14.61SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.41Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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13.33University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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12.1Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 21.5% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% |
| Meredith Moran | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Megan Geith | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 7.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Sydney Monahan | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 33.3% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 18.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.