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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+2.49vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.16+4.25vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.69+4.98vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.76+7.39vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.91+2.04vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+3.74vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98-0.06vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.76+3.21vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.50vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.43-4.64vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.14-0.87vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.43+0.53vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.57-4.53vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.01-3.34vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.20-5.20vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College-0.01-2.12vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.72-5.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Stanford University3.110.3%1st Place
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6.25Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.98Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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11.39University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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7.04University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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9.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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6.94Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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11.21George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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6.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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5.36Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.13Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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8.47Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.66Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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9.8Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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13.88SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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11.63Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 26.2% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Moran | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 17.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Megan Geith | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.3% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 15.3% | 34.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.