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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+2.89vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+4.81vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.43+2.84vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.69+4.35vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.98+2.21vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.16+0.65vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.91+0.55vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.76+3.97vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.07vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.14+0.87vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.01+0.24vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College-0.01+2.87vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.57-4.27vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.20-3.94vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.43-1.80vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.76-3.84vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.46-7.53vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.72-5.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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6.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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5.84Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.35Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.21Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.65Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.55University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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11.97George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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10.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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10.87Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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11.24Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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14.87SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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8.73Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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10.06Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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13.2University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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12.16University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.47North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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12.05Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 21.3% | 19.0% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.7% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 8.2% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Megan Geith | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 36.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 16.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.