← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.11+2.89vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University2.16+4.79vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+7.32vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University1.57+4.77vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.61vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont0.76+6.07vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.43-1.30vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University1.20+2.25vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.91-1.56vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University1.01+1.40vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College1.14-0.23vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.98-4.42vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University0.76-1.12vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University1.69-5.88vs Predicted
-
15Boston University0.72-2.78vs Predicted
-
16North Carolina State University1.46-6.62vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College-0.01-2.25vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin0.43-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.89Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
-
6.79Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
-
10.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
-
8.77Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
-
6.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
12.07University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
5.7Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
-
10.25Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
-
7.44University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
-
11.4Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
-
10.77Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
-
7.58Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
-
11.88George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
-
8.12Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
-
12.22Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
9.38North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
-
14.75SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
-
13.06University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 21.0% | 18.5% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Megan Geith | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 34.9% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.