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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+9.13vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.16+4.63vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.11+0.69vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.69+4.12vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.45vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.28+3.87vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.01+3.95vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.91-0.74vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.14+1.38vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.20+0.48vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.43-5.32vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.57-2.96vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.46-3.92vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.72-2.24vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.01-0.53vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.76-3.96vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.43-3.78vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.76-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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6.63Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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3.69Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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8.12Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.95Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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7.26University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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10.38Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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10.48Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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5.68Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.04Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.08North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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11.76Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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14.47SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.04George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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13.22University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 21.0% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Megan Geith | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Sydney Monahan | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Meredith Moran | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 32.5% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 18.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.