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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.16+6.01vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.69+6.82vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.43+2.96vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.11-0.23vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.71vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.91+1.68vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+4.42vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.57+0.94vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.98-1.71vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.14+0.97vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-2.55vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.46-2.15vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.20-2.62vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.43-0.94vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.76-2.83vs Predicted
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16Boston University0.72-3.54vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.01-5.57vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.01-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.82Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.96Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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3.77Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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6.71St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.68University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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11.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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8.94Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.29Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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10.97Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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9.85North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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10.38Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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13.06University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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12.46Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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11.43Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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14.63SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 22.2% | 20.2% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Brook Wood | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 16.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% |
| Megan Geith | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.