← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.16+5.92vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+6.60vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.11+0.82vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.91+3.61vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University1.69+3.51vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.98+1.46vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.43-1.17vs Predicted
-
8Boston University0.72+4.27vs Predicted
-
9North Carolina State University1.46+0.45vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-3.00vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College1.14-0.13vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.20-1.11vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University1.01-1.85vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College-0.01+0.47vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin0.43-1.62vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University1.57-6.84vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont0.76-4.61vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-6.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.92Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
-
8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
-
3.82Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
-
7.61University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
-
8.51Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
-
7.46Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
-
5.83Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
-
12.27Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
9.45North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
-
7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
10.87Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
-
10.89Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
-
11.15Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
-
14.47SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
-
13.38University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
-
9.16Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
-
12.39University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
11.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Freeman | 20.3% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Meredith Moran | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Megan Geith | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 16.7% | 32.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 18.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.4% |
| Brook Wood | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.