← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.16+5.78vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+4.66vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.98+4.29vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont0.76+7.89vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.11-1.40vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.57+2.69vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.01+3.96vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University1.69+0.22vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.91-1.68vs Predicted
-
10Boston University0.72+2.41vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-2.79vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.20-1.41vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.96vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University1.27-4.31vs Predicted
-
15North Carolina State University1.46-5.79vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin0.43-2.69vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College1.14-6.34vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College-0.01-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.78Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
-
6.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
7.29Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
-
11.89University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
3.6Stanford University3.110.3%1st Place
-
8.69Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
-
10.96Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
-
8.22Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
-
7.32University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
-
12.41Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
10.59Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
-
11.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
-
9.69Cornell University1.270.0%1st Place
-
9.21North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
-
13.31University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
-
10.66Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
-
14.48SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% |
| Hannah Freeman | 26.8% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Megan Geith | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 11.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Brook Wood | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 18.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.