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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.59+10.25vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.20+8.58vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.03+4.79vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.39+2.35vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.39+3.70vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.58+0.09vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+4.08vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.85+0.32vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.71-3.67vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-1.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.51-0.97vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.06-0.94vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.94-4.64vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering-0.96+2.55vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.48-5.08vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.42-5.77vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.85-12.06vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University-0.43-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.25Northeastern University1.593.1%1st Place
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10.58Connecticut College1.203.0%1st Place
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7.79Brown University2.036.5%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College2.3910.2%1st Place
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8.7Boston University1.394.3%1st Place
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6.09Boston College2.5810.4%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.402.3%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University1.855.9%1st Place
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5.33Yale University2.7114.1%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.454.4%1st Place
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10.03Tufts University1.513.6%1st Place
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11.06University of Vermont1.062.5%1st Place
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8.36Roger Williams University1.946.7%1st Place
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16.55Olin College of Engineering-0.960.5%1st Place
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9.92Bowdoin College1.483.7%1st Place
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10.23University of Rhode Island1.423.1%1st Place
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4.94Yale University2.8514.9%1st Place
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15.71Fairfield University-0.430.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 2.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Martins Atilla | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Harrison Strom | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Clark Morris | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 21.0% | 57.6% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Henry Lee | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 14.9% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jane Matthews | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 33.4% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.