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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+5.55vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.87+9.22vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.69+3.97vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+9.61vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.92+5.92vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.78+6.07vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.83+4.62vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.57+4.52vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley2.60+3.70vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon2.76+1.87vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii3.36-2.27vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida4.17-6.48vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.50-5.03vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego2.19+0.99vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley1.18+5.86vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay2.30-1.62vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis2.13-1.25vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University2.36-4.64vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego1.78-2.27vs Predicted
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21Western Washington University2.02-4.69vs Predicted
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22Western Washington University1.88-5.02vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands1.09-2.49vs Predicted
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26University of Oregon1.22-5.16vs Predicted
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27University of California at Los Angeles1.72-8.69vs Predicted
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28Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-10.22vs Predicted
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29University of Puget Sound1.26-8.82vs Predicted
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30Purdue University0.21-5.36vs Predicted
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31University of Texas1.46-11.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
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11.22University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
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6.97Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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13.61University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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12.07University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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11.62University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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12.52University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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12.7University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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8.73University of Hawaii3.360.1%1st Place
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5.52University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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7.97Stanford University3.500.1%1st Place
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14.99University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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20.86University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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14.38California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
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15.75University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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14.36Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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17.73University of California at San Diego1.780.0%1st Place
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16.31Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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16.98Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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21.51California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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20.84University of Oregon1.220.0%1st Place
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18.31University of California at Los Angeles1.720.0%1st Place
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17.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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20.18University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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24.64Purdue University0.210.0%1st Place
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19.1University of Texas1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Kelly | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keely Scates | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hester | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Matt Foster | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Porter | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cody Shevitz | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Drake | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 14.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Dugdale | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Megan Hayes | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% |
| Bradley Schoch | 2.4% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Lindsay Grove | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Bryan Rust | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Erika Vranizan | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Domingos | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 12.2% |
| Cara Kuhlman | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.1% |
| Carmen Bozina | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Thomas Maher | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Mike Knape | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% |
| George Halsted | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 43.8% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.