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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.46+8.56vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.20+8.55vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.72+9.37vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.16+2.55vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+3.13vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.01+5.06vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-0.37vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.91-0.54vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.11-5.33vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.01+4.77vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.28-0.91vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.41vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.57-4.23vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.43-1.03vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.43-9.33vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University1.69-7.46vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.76-4.75vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College1.14-7.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.56North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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10.55Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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12.37Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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6.55Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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11.06Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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6.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.46University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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3.67Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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14.77SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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11.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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8.77Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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12.97University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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5.67Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.54Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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12.25University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.36Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 9.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Megan Geith | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Freeman | 22.9% | 19.5% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 14.7% | 37.4% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Brook Wood | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 16.8% |
| Meredith Moran | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.