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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+2.85vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.16+4.80vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.72+9.48vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.57+4.78vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.69+3.35vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+2.21vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-0.33vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.43-2.41vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.31vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.28+0.29vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.25-0.70vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.46-2.30vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.01-2.02vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.43-1.05vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.91-7.53vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.76-3.84vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.20-6.45vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-0.01-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
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6.8Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
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12.48Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.78Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.35Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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6.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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5.59Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
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10.29Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
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10.3Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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9.7North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
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10.98Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
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12.95University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
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7.47University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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12.16University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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10.55Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
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14.58SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 22.2% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 10.7% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Meredith Moran | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brook Wood | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Christine Reimer | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Megan Geith | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 18.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.6% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Morgan Essex | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.