← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.91+6.75vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University2.16+4.77vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+5.42vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University1.69+4.27vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College-0.01+9.50vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.46+3.34vs Predicted
-
7Boston University0.72+5.25vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University3.11-4.33vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University1.20+1.36vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.57-0.80vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University1.28-0.79vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.43-5.99vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University1.01-2.03vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-7.58vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.76-2.94vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College1.25-5.76vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin0.43-3.60vs Predicted
-
18Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-6.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.75University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
-
6.77Tulane University2.160.1%1st Place
-
8.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
-
8.27Georgetown University1.690.1%1st Place
-
14.5SUNY Maritime College-0.010.0%1st Place
-
9.34North Carolina State University1.460.0%1st Place
-
12.25Boston University0.720.0%1st Place
-
3.67Stanford University3.110.2%1st Place
-
10.36Roger Williams University1.200.0%1st Place
-
9.2Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
-
10.21Tufts University1.280.0%1st Place
-
6.01Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
-
10.97Old Dominion University1.010.0%1st Place
-
6.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
12.06University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
10.24Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
-
13.4University of Wisconsin0.430.0%1st Place
-
11.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Monahan | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Sailer | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Morgan Essex | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 34.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% |
| Hannah Freeman | 23.4% | 19.9% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michaela ODonnell | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Alexandra Talbot | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Meredith Moran | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Geith | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.6% |
| Christine Reimer | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 19.9% |
| Brook Wood | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.