Race 1A

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nils Tullberg 34.4% 27.5% 19.2% 10.7% 5.0% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Liam Lawless 22.1% 22.5% 18.2% 16.4% 11.1% 6.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Kristin Hess 5.4% 6.6% 8.7% 11.1% 13.5% 15.9% 15.7% 12.5% 7.8% 2.6% 0.2%
James Sullivan 8.3% 9.9% 14.1% 16.0% 18.8% 13.1% 11.0% 5.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Will Rudaz 3.1% 2.7% 3.4% 5.7% 7.6% 11.0% 13.8% 17.1% 17.6% 16.3% 1.7%
Anthony Purcell 15.1% 18.7% 19.4% 17.0% 11.5% 9.5% 5.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Kate Myler 5.8% 6.2% 7.3% 10.6% 15.2% 17.2% 13.6% 12.3% 7.8% 3.5% 0.5%
Gray Dinsel 2.2% 1.2% 2.7% 4.5% 5.7% 8.5% 11.5% 17.4% 18.6% 24.7% 3.0%
Kennard MacVaugh 1.7% 2.1% 3.7% 2.7% 4.9% 8.1% 10.5% 15.3% 22.7% 22.6% 5.7%
Norman Walker 1.5% 2.5% 3.1% 5.2% 6.6% 7.4% 13.7% 15.1% 19.2% 23.0% 2.7%
Sarah Barth 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.6% 1.6% 1.5% 3.2% 6.0% 86.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.