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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+2.11vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.74+0.28vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.90+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.39+0.58vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.03+2.25vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+1.73vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+0.69vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-2.29vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-3.48vs Predicted
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10Bates College-1.38-2.23vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-3.98-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Northeastern University1.180.2%1st Place
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2.28Salve Regina University1.740.4%1st Place
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3.69University of Rhode Island0.900.1%1st Place
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4.58University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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7.25University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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7.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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5.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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5.52SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
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7.77Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Massachusetts at Amherst-3.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Lawless | 18.7% | 23.6% | 20.5% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 37.8% | 26.3% | 18.2% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Purcell | 14.4% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Rudaz | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 16.5% | 2.0% |
| Norman Walker | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 19.5% | 22.3% | 3.9% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 19.3% | 22.7% | 3.6% |
| Kate Myler | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Kristin Hess | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 20.5% | 23.3% | 3.7% |
| Sarah Barth | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 85.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.