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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.74+1.31vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.90+1.54vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+4.78vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18-0.80vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.39-0.47vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-0.49vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.03+0.10vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-0.26vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.38-1.08vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-4.29vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-3.98-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31Salve Regina University1.740.4%1st Place
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3.54University of Rhode Island0.900.2%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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3.2Northeastern University1.180.2%1st Place
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4.53University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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5.51SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
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7.1University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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7.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.92Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.71University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Massachusetts at Amherst-3.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 35.3% | 28.3% | 18.1% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Purcell | 16.0% | 17.7% | 19.0% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Norman Walker | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 22.0% | 23.7% | 2.9% |
| Liam Lawless | 20.4% | 19.0% | 20.9% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 2.0% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 23.4% | 3.0% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 26.6% | 5.2% |
| Kate Myler | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Barth | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 86.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.