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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.74+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.39+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.90+0.44vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+3.36vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36+2.31vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18-3.05vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.38+0.16vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-2.97vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.03-2.25vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.96-0.39vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-3.29-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Salve Regina University1.740.4%1st Place
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4.16University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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3.44University of Rhode Island0.900.1%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
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2.95Northeastern University1.180.2%1st Place
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7.16Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.03SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
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6.75University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.960.0%1st Place
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10.0University of Massachusetts at Amherst-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 36.6% | 27.5% | 20.2% | 10.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 18.5% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Purcell | 15.0% | 18.0% | 19.5% | 20.7% | 14.5% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Norman Walker | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 20.1% | 12.3% | 2.9% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 19.7% | 13.1% | 2.1% |
| Liam Lawless | 23.2% | 22.7% | 20.6% | 15.6% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Dinsel | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 20.3% | 19.0% | 10.0% | 2.5% |
| Kristin Hess | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Will Rudaz | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Margaret Buswick | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 31.7% | 37.5% |
| Ariana Schreibman | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 25.2% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.