← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island0.90+2.62vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.18+1.07vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.74-0.66vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire0.39+0.62vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+0.87vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire-1.03+1.34vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-1.68vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-0.36vs Predicted
-
9Bates College-1.38-1.00vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.36-2.18vs Predicted
-
11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-3.29-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.62University of Rhode Island0.900.1%1st Place
-
3.07Northeastern University1.180.2%1st Place
-
2.34Salve Regina University1.740.4%1st Place
-
4.62University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
-
5.87University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
-
7.34University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
-
5.32SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.1%1st Place
-
7.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
-
8.0Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
-
7.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.360.0%1st Place
-
10.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Purcell | 13.7% | 17.8% | 20.0% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Lawless | 22.6% | 20.7% | 19.6% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 35.7% | 27.2% | 18.2% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 8.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kate Myler | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 0.2% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 14.4% | 4.6% |
| Kristin Hess | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 16.5% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Norman Walker | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 20.4% | 4.5% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 21.6% | 22.3% | 8.7% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 23.6% | 6.2% |
| Ariana Schreibman | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 75.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.