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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.7%
Within 2 Positions
6.2
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+5.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis2.13+13.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley2.60+9.41vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.57+8.91vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.92+4.69vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+6.54vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.88+8.97vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.87+1.70vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii3.36-1.50vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine2.83+0.22vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida4.17-6.80vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.69-5.55vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.50-6.18vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.78-3.65vs Predicted
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16University of Puget Sound1.26+4.32vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University2.36-4.08vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay2.30-4.53vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles1.72-2.12vs Predicted
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21Western Washington University2.02-4.82vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego1.78-5.48vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon1.97-7.72vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-7.08vs Predicted
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26University of Oregon1.22-5.38vs Predicted
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27University of California at Berkeley1.18-5.94vs Predicted
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28California State University Channel Islands1.09-6.90vs Predicted
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29University of Texas1.46-9.99vs Predicted
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30Purdue University0.21-5.44vs Predicted
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31University of California at San Diego2.19-16.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
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15.24University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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12.41University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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12.91University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
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13.54University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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16.97Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.7University of Washington2.870.1%1st Place
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8.5University of Hawaii3.360.1%1st Place
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11.22University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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5.2University of South Florida4.170.2%1st Place
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7.45Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.82Stanford University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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20.32University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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13.92Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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14.47California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
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17.88University of California at Los Angeles1.720.0%1st Place
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16.18Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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17.52University of California at San Diego1.780.0%1st Place
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16.28University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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17.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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20.62University of Oregon1.220.0%1st Place
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21.06University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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21.1California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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19.01University of Texas1.460.0%1st Place
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24.56Purdue University0.210.0%1st Place
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14.72University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Kelly | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Cody Shevitz | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Hester | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Keely Scates | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Porter | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 15.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Dugdale | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Foster | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mike Knape | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% |
| Lindsay Grove | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Schoch | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Carmen Bozina | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Bryan Rust | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Balter | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Maher | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Cara Kuhlman | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 8.5% |
| Megan Hayes | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 10.4% |
| Andrew Domingos | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% |
| George Halsted | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 43.7% |
| Eric Alamillo | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.