Race 1B

central-series

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Adrian Winkelman 62.9% 24.1% 8.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Hanrahan 15.5% 29.6% 25.2% 16.7% 7.9% 3.3% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Clayton Greig 2.3% 3.7% 5.6% 8.1% 10.0% 16.0% 15.8% 19.4% 14.0% 5.1%
Spencer Asofsky 6.8% 20.9% 24.2% 21.3% 13.7% 8.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Andy Giaya 3.1% 5.6% 8.8% 9.0% 15.3% 17.2% 17.0% 13.3% 8.2% 2.5%
Rose von Eckartsberg 4.7% 8.2% 13.4% 17.7% 19.8% 14.3% 12.5% 6.4% 2.5% 0.5%
Robert Houde 0.8% 1.1% 2.5% 4.9% 6.7% 10.0% 13.8% 17.8% 26.3% 16.1%
Robert Caldwell 2.3% 4.5% 7.5% 10.7% 14.5% 16.9% 17.5% 13.2% 10.1% 2.8%
Ozel Yilmazel 1.2% 1.9% 3.3% 6.4% 7.8% 11.2% 13.2% 19.2% 23.0% 12.8%
Charlotte Maffie 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 1.7% 3.4% 2.8% 5.1% 9.2% 15.8% 60.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.