Race 2B

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Molly Hanrahan 17.8% 30.9% 20.9% 17.2% 7.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Adrian Winkelman 60.5% 28.5% 8.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Spencer Asofsky 9.3% 17.0% 24.9% 21.1% 15.3% 7.5% 3.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Robert Caldwell 1.9% 3.7% 7.7% 10.0% 14.2% 17.5% 18.0% 14.4% 9.7% 2.9%
Andy Giaya 3.0% 4.8% 8.5% 10.1% 14.7% 16.3% 19.1% 12.2% 8.9% 2.4%
Clayton Greig 1.9% 4.3% 6.7% 8.1% 11.9% 15.4% 14.9% 16.9% 13.9% 6.0%
Rose von Eckartsberg 3.6% 7.1% 14.2% 19.6% 18.1% 15.9% 11.3% 7.4% 2.3% 0.5%
Robert Houde 0.8% 1.2% 3.5% 4.9% 7.9% 9.2% 12.7% 18.4% 25.2% 16.2%
Ozel Yilmazel 1.0% 1.8% 4.2% 5.1% 7.2% 10.7% 15.2% 19.3% 22.7% 12.8%
Charlotte Maffie 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 2.0% 3.0% 3.4% 4.3% 9.3% 17.0% 59.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.