Race 3B

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Adrian Winkelman 63.5% 23.8% 7.9% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Hanrahan 14.9% 32.7% 23.4% 15.9% 8.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Spencer Asofsky 9.1% 16.9% 26.5% 21.0% 14.2% 7.7% 3.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Clayton Greig 1.3% 3.3% 5.2% 8.4% 13.7% 14.1% 19.1% 18.2% 13.0% 3.7%
Rose von Eckartsberg 4.4% 9.5% 12.5% 17.6% 18.5% 17.3% 10.2% 6.5% 2.9% 0.6%
Ozel Yilmazel 1.3% 2.9% 4.9% 3.9% 7.6% 11.5% 12.8% 18.6% 23.7% 12.8%
Robert Caldwell 1.7% 3.5% 7.6% 10.4% 14.0% 17.4% 18.9% 12.8% 10.6% 3.1%
Andy Giaya 2.3% 5.1% 8.0% 12.0% 14.5% 15.5% 17.5% 14.9% 8.0% 2.2%
Robert Houde 1.2% 1.8% 2.7% 4.5% 6.5% 9.8% 12.5% 18.4% 26.5% 16.1%
Charlotte Maffie 0.3% 0.5% 1.3% 2.3% 1.7% 3.6% 4.8% 8.9% 15.1% 61.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.