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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.61+1.81vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.00-0.48vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.09+0.54vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.59+2.22vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27+0.65vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-3.06+2.46vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.08vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.24-0.67vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-4.26vs Predicted
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10Bates College-3.28-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Salve Regina University0.610.2%1st Place
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1.52Northeastern University2.000.6%1st Place
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3.54University of Rhode Island0.090.1%1st Place
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6.22University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Massachusetts at Amherst-3.060.0%1st Place
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5.92University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
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4.74SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.8Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Hanrahan | 17.7% | 31.5% | 22.7% | 15.1% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 61.4% | 28.0% | 8.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 9.7% | 17.0% | 24.8% | 21.9% | 15.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Greig | 1.4% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 9.1% | 2.3% |
| Andy Giaya | 3.0% | 4.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 18.0% | 13.1% | 5.7% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Dincer | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 28.5% | 35.7% |
| Robert Caldwell | 1.6% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Robert Houde | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 23.2% | 21.6% | 11.7% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 4.0% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 19.2% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 25.6% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.