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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.00+0.54vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.61+0.81vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.09+0.53vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27+1.74vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.59+1.20vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.72-1.30vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.36-1.12vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.24-0.70vs Predicted
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9Bates College-3.28-0.22vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-3.06-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54Northeastern University2.000.6%1st Place
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2.81Salve Regina University0.610.2%1st Place
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3.53University of Rhode Island0.090.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.2University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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4.7SUNY Stony Brook-0.720.1%1st Place
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5.88University of New Hampshire-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.240.0%1st Place
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8.78Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Massachusetts at Amherst-3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 62.5% | 25.7% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 15.5% | 32.6% | 24.3% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 9.3% | 18.1% | 25.4% | 20.7% | 14.9% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 1.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 19.0% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Clayton Greig | 2.6% | 3.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 20.8% | 17.6% | 10.5% | 2.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 5.0% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 18.3% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Caldwell | 1.7% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 20.0% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 7.2% | 1.4% |
| Robert Houde | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 23.9% | 22.0% | 10.7% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 25.9% | 46.3% |
| Dylan Dincer | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 26.9% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.