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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.32+9.64vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.85+6.49vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.07+4.77vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.13+3.36vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.08+2.51vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.12+1.47vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73+2.26vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.01vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.73-0.08vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.72+3.27vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.90-2.68vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-4.37vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.51+1.27vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering-0.65+3.43vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.22-7.97vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University1.06-4.22vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College0.24-2.19vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.51-8.04vs Predicted
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19Bates College0.28-4.26vs Predicted
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20Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.60-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.64University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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8.49Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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7.36Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.51U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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7.47Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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8.92Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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13.27University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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8.32Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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14.27University of Wisconsin0.510.0%1st Place
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17.43Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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7.03Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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11.78Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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14.81Dartmouth College0.240.0%1st Place
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9.96University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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14.74Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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17.36Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Harris Padegs | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John McKenna | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Street | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| George Lockwood | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 6.3% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 20.7% | 37.0% |
| Jed Bell | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Martha Rand | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 7.9% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 7.8% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 21.7% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.