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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida4.17+4.03vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+4.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.83+8.08vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego2.19+11.21vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+1.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.78+5.78vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.36+1.55vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+3.75vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.50-2.25vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.57+1.75vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay2.30+2.31vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley2.60+0.14vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University2.02+2.02vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.92-4.51vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley1.18+3.69vs Predicted
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19Western Washington University1.88-2.29vs Predicted
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20University of Oregon1.22+0.56vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis2.13-5.53vs Predicted
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22University of Washington2.87-10.87vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands1.09-1.70vs Predicted
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24University of Puget Sound1.26-3.67vs Predicted
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25Santa Clara University2.36-10.64vs Predicted
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26University of Oregon1.97-9.35vs Predicted
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27University of California at Los Angeles1.72-8.85vs Predicted
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28University of California at San Diego1.78-10.61vs Predicted
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29Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-11.66vs Predicted
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30University of Texas1.46-10.89vs Predicted
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31Purdue University0.21-6.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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6.51California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
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11.08University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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15.21University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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6.98Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.78University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Hawaii3.360.1%1st Place
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12.75University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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7.75Stanford University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.75University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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14.31California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
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13.14University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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16.02Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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20.69University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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16.71Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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20.56University of Oregon1.220.0%1st Place
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15.47University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
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21.3California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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20.33University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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14.36Santa Clara University2.360.0%1st Place
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16.65University of Oregon1.970.0%1st Place
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18.15University of California at Los Angeles1.720.0%1st Place
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17.39University of California at San Diego1.780.0%1st Place
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17.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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19.11University of Texas1.460.0%1st Place
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24.45Purdue University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Marks | 14.9% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kelly | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Porter | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Judge Ryan | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Foster | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keely Scates | 4.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nick Dugdale | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Schoch | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cody Shevitz | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Bryan Rust | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Hester | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Hayes | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Cara Kuhlman | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 9.5% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Domingos | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 12.1% |
| Mike Knape | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 7.0% |
| Lindsay Grove | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Balter | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Carmen Bozina | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Maher | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| George Halsted | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.