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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.90+7.42vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.51+8.09vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.08+4.83vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.73+5.15vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.12+2.50vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College0.24+9.26vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University1.06+5.31vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.85+0.43vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-2.88vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.07-2.27vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering0.52+3.17vs Predicted
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12University of South Carolina0.72+1.63vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.13-5.19vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-4.85vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-7.40vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.22-8.93vs Predicted
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17Bates College0.28-2.03vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.51-3.68vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont1.32-8.18vs Predicted
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20Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.60-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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10.09University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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9.15Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.5Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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15.26Dartmouth College0.240.0%1st Place
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12.31Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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8.43Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.73University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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14.17Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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13.63University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.1%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.07Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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14.97Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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14.32University of Wisconsin0.510.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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17.64Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Dolan | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Will Priebe | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martha Rand | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 14.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Harris Padegs | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 8.2% |
| Ian Street | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 5.3% |
| Eric Hansen | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| John McKenna | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Emma Snead | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 12.7% |
| George Lockwood | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 9.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 16.4% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.