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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.08+6.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+4.13vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University1.06+8.87vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.07+3.62vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.51+4.84vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.85+2.58vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.12+0.67vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.51+5.82vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina0.72+4.17vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-0.95vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-3.44vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.32-1.10vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.13-5.39vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.73-5.01vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.22-7.96vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.90-7.79vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College0.24-2.16vs Predicted
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18Bates College0.28-3.13vs Predicted
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19Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.60-1.75vs Predicted
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20Olin College of Engineering-0.65-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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11.87Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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7.62University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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9.84University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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8.58Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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7.67Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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13.82University of Wisconsin0.510.0%1st Place
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13.17University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.99Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.04Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.21Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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14.84Dartmouth College0.240.0%1st Place
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14.87Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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17.25Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.600.0%1st Place
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17.45Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Miles Williams | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Harris Padegs | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| George Lockwood | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| Ian Street | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| John McKenna | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Martha Rand | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 8.5% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 9.5% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 23.2% | 33.6% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 21.3% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.