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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+6.52vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.13+5.34vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+3.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.37vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.32+5.66vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22+1.10vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.90+1.59vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.73+0.78vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.51+0.84vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.72+3.37vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.08-3.39vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.28+3.18vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.85-4.17vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.72-0.64vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-6.04vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University1.06-4.11vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.60+0.50vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.51-3.72vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.18-7.65vs Predicted
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20Olin College of Engineering0.52-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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7.34Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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7.1Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.59Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.78Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.84University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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13.37University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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15.18Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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8.83Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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13.36Dartmouth College0.720.0%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.1%1st Place
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11.89Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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17.5Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.28University of Wisconsin0.510.0%1st Place
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11.35Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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14.3Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Jed Bell | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Ian Street | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 19.9% | 14.7% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Connor Vogel | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.6% |
| John McKenna | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 47.1% |
| George Lockwood | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.0% |
| Liam Lawless | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| James Jagielski | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.