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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.73+7.96vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+4.90vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.08+4.64vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.90+4.19vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.37vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.85+2.60vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.32+4.10vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.07-0.56vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.51+5.11vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.72+3.42vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18+0.48vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-5.80vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College0.72+0.73vs Predicted
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14Bates College0.28+0.96vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.13-7.64vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-7.06vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.60+0.49vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.51-7.98vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering0.52-4.95vs Predicted
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20Fairfield University1.06-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.96Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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6.9Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.64U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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8.19Fordham University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.6Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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11.1University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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14.11University of Wisconsin0.510.0%1st Place
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13.42University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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11.48Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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6.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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13.73Dartmouth College0.720.0%1st Place
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14.96Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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7.36Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.1%1st Place
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17.49Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.02University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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14.05Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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12.04Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jed Bell | 10.2% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Miles Williams | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| George Lockwood | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 8.0% |
| Ian Street | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 5.9% |
| Liam Lawless | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Emily Bornarth | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Vogel | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 5.5% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 15.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| John McKenna | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 15.1% | 48.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| James Jagielski | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 8.3% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.