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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.9%
Within 2 Positions
7.3
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.78+10.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley2.60+10.71vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.83+8.27vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis2.13+11.68vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.57+7.85vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.69+1.28vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy3.79-0.35vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida4.17-3.04vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii3.36-0.38vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.78+7.56vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon1.22+9.55vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego2.19+3.75vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.41vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75+3.48vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley1.18+5.83vs Predicted
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16Purdue University0.21+8.63vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon2.76-5.94vs Predicted
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19University of Texas1.46+0.47vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University2.20-4.90vs Predicted
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21Stanford University3.50-13.00vs Predicted
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22University of Hawaii2.92-11.18vs Predicted
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23California State University Monterey Bay2.30-8.17vs Predicted
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25University of Puget Sound1.26-4.41vs Predicted
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27University of California at Los Angeles1.72-8.69vs Predicted
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28Western Washington University2.02-11.81vs Predicted
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29Western Washington University1.88-12.31vs Predicted
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30California State University Channel Islands1.09-8.87vs Predicted
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31University of Washington2.87-20.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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12.71University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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15.68University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Southern California2.570.0%1st Place
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7.28Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.65California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
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4.96University of South Florida4.170.2%1st Place
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8.62University of Hawaii3.360.1%1st Place
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17.56University of California at San Diego1.780.0%1st Place
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20.55University of Oregon1.220.0%1st Place
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15.75University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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13.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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17.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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20.83University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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24.63Purdue University0.210.0%1st Place
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12.06University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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19.47University of Texas1.460.0%1st Place
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15.1Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.0Stanford University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.82University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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14.83California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
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20.59University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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18.31University of California at Los Angeles1.720.0%1st Place
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16.19Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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16.69Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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21.13California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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10.97University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Foster | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cody Shevitz | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Porter | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kelly | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 18.6% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Cara Kuhlman | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% |
| Eric Alamillo | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Keely Scates | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Maher | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Megan Hayes | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% |
| George Halsted | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 41.5% |
| Elliot Drake | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nick Dugdale | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hester | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Schoch | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mike Knape | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 8.8% |
| Carmen Bozina | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Bryan Rust | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Domingos | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.5% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.