← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+4.05vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.40+3.79vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.78+5.32vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.83+3.99vs Predicted
-
5Fairfield University0.69+7.70vs Predicted
-
6University of South Carolina1.28+4.41vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont1.27+3.64vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.63-3.03vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06+2.13vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.18+0.75vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.24-4.51vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University1.69-3.29vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.96-0.96vs Predicted
-
14Olin College of Engineering0.46-0.32vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin0.72-2.42vs Predicted
-
16Bates College0.97-4.47vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College0.53-3.73vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida0.23-3.31vs Predicted
-
19Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.31-0.55vs Predicted
-
20U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-9.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.2%1st Place
-
5.79U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
-
8.32Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
-
7.99Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
-
12.7Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
-
10.41University of South Carolina1.280.0%1st Place
-
10.64University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
-
4.97Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
11.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
-
10.75Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
-
6.49University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
-
8.71Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
-
12.04Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
-
13.68Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
-
12.58University of Wisconsin0.720.0%1st Place
-
11.53Bates College0.970.0%1st Place
-
13.27Dartmouth College0.530.0%1st Place
-
14.69University of South Florida0.230.0%1st Place
-
18.45Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.310.0%1st Place
-
10.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Reeser | 15.5% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trenton Shaw | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 2.3% |
| David Manley | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Mason Stang | 14.3% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Carter Brock | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Declan Botwinick | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Colin Snow | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 4.8% |
| Tye Rubin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 4.4% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 19.4% | 9.2% |
| Jason Elliott | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 67.8% |
| Celia Houston | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.