Race 1A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charlie Herrick 13.2% 11.8% 10.1% 10.8% 10.9% 9.4% 7.6% 7.4% 6.7% 5.1% 3.8% 2.4% 0.8%
Cole Broberg 4.9% 5.4% 7.2% 6.0% 6.7% 6.5% 7.9% 8.0% 9.7% 9.8% 10.2% 10.7% 7.1%
Eric Brieden 16.4% 14.8% 12.3% 11.5% 11.4% 8.9% 7.8% 6.7% 4.2% 2.8% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Nicholas Chesemore 8.2% 8.2% 9.3% 7.0% 8.9% 9.7% 9.8% 7.8% 9.5% 7.9% 6.3% 5.2% 2.1%
Sam Childers 10.0% 9.9% 10.0% 10.3% 10.3% 8.4% 8.5% 7.7% 8.2% 7.4% 4.8% 3.1% 1.6%
Rakesh Dhiman 4.1% 5.4% 5.5% 5.7% 5.3% 5.5% 5.9% 7.8% 9.0% 10.3% 11.8% 12.1% 11.7%
Hayden Johansen 3.2% 3.9% 3.5% 4.1% 4.2% 5.2% 6.2% 6.9% 7.1% 10.0% 11.2% 15.5% 19.1%
Mary Castellini 7.9% 9.1% 8.8% 9.2% 9.0% 10.3% 8.5% 9.2% 8.2% 6.6% 6.2% 4.9% 1.9%
Alden Gort 5.5% 6.0% 7.0% 5.7% 6.1% 7.7% 8.2% 8.0% 9.2% 10.4% 10.8% 9.3% 6.1%
Wyatt Tait 9.6% 8.5% 7.6% 10.7% 8.1% 8.6% 9.0% 9.3% 8.9% 7.4% 6.0% 4.2% 2.1%
Marco Constantini 3.6% 3.8% 4.0% 5.1% 5.2% 5.7% 7.3% 7.8% 7.5% 9.2% 12.2% 14.9% 13.7%
Jack Rutherford 2.2% 2.2% 2.5% 3.9% 3.6% 4.2% 4.5% 4.9% 5.8% 8.1% 10.5% 14.8% 32.9%
Juan Casal 11.3% 11.1% 12.2% 10.2% 10.2% 9.8% 8.7% 8.5% 6.1% 5.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.