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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.69+11.75vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.69+6.57vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.93vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.06+7.31vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.96+6.65vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.72+6.07vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.63-2.95vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.23+5.54vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina1.28+0.33vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College0.17+3.75vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.24-5.42vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-1.91vs Predicted
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14Bates College0.97-2.43vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering0.46-1.41vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.78-7.84vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.31+1.43vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.27-7.55vs Predicted
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19Brown University1.83-11.07vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-10.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.75Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.57Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.93U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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11.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.060.0%1st Place
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11.65Connecticut College0.960.0%1st Place
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5.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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13.07University of Wisconsin0.720.0%1st Place
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5.05Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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14.54University of South Florida0.230.0%1st Place
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10.33University of South Carolina1.280.0%1st Place
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14.75Dartmouth College0.170.0%1st Place
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6.58University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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11.09Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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11.57Bates College0.970.0%1st Place
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13.59Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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8.16Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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18.43Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.310.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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7.93Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Trenton Shaw | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Brown | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 14.2% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tye Rubin | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 3.3% |
| Mason Stang | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 8.4% |
| David Manley | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Rob Mailley | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 9.5% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Ted Lutton | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Colin Snow | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 4.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jason Elliott | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 65.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.