Race 1A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Billy Vogel 24.5% 21.1% 17.3% 13.3% 10.5% 5.9% 4.5% 2.3% 0.2% 0.4%
Luke Koerschner 13.8% 14.3% 14.4% 15.1% 13.1% 11.2% 8.3% 6.3% 3.1% 0.4%
Jack Viscuso 12.3% 10.7% 11.9% 12.9% 14.3% 14.6% 10.7% 9.0% 2.9% 0.7%
Caroline Grin 5.1% 6.7% 8.1% 10.4% 10.3% 12.4% 16.5% 12.2% 13.3% 5.0%
Brittany Shabino 9.8% 10.4% 9.9% 12.5% 13.0% 14.0% 13.5% 9.2% 5.7% 2.0%
Joseph Gallagher 21.7% 20.9% 16.4% 15.0% 10.9% 7.5% 4.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Cecilia Patrick 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% 2.1% 3.7% 4.7% 5.6% 11.8% 19.9% 48.0%
Nok In Chan 6.2% 7.6% 10.6% 9.8% 11.1% 13.1% 13.0% 15.7% 9.7% 3.2%
Kate Crannell 2.4% 2.9% 4.9% 4.6% 5.8% 8.4% 11.2% 15.4% 23.8% 20.6%
Emily Williams 3.0% 4.1% 4.8% 4.3% 7.3% 8.2% 12.0% 16.3% 20.5% 19.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.