Race 2A

first-year-icebreaker

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brittany Shabino 9.3% 11.1% 11.1% 11.3% 11.8% 12.8% 14.9% 9.9% 5.4% 2.4%
Jack Viscuso 11.4% 11.3% 13.1% 12.6% 14.2% 12.2% 12.9% 8.1% 3.6% 0.6%
Joseph Gallagher 21.5% 17.8% 16.5% 16.3% 12.3% 7.0% 5.0% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Billy Vogel 24.0% 19.9% 18.4% 14.6% 10.0% 8.3% 2.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Kate Crannell 3.4% 3.5% 4.7% 5.5% 5.5% 7.7% 9.1% 15.4% 24.1% 21.1%
Caroline Grin 7.5% 6.2% 7.8% 7.2% 11.2% 14.0% 13.3% 16.4% 11.2% 5.2%
Luke Koerschner 12.6% 15.5% 14.9% 14.7% 13.5% 12.1% 9.4% 5.0% 1.9% 0.4%
Nok In Chan 6.1% 9.2% 7.4% 10.9% 10.3% 13.7% 15.2% 12.8% 10.0% 4.4%
Cecilia Patrick 1.8% 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 3.5% 3.9% 6.2% 11.3% 19.5% 47.6%
Emily Williams 2.4% 4.0% 4.2% 4.1% 7.7% 8.3% 11.5% 16.4% 23.2% 18.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.