Race 3A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brittany Shabino 10.6% 10.9% 11.3% 13.2% 13.1% 12.7% 13.3% 8.4% 4.8% 1.7%
Joseph Gallagher 22.1% 20.1% 18.3% 14.7% 11.4% 6.8% 4.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Billy Vogel 25.2% 19.4% 17.8% 13.9% 11.4% 7.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Luke Koerschner 13.1% 16.8% 14.7% 14.7% 16.0% 11.1% 7.6% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4%
Edwin Becker 3.3% 3.9% 4.5% 5.1% 6.6% 9.2% 10.9% 15.4% 21.5% 19.6%
Jack Viscuso 14.2% 12.3% 12.6% 14.9% 13.1% 12.1% 11.3% 5.9% 2.4% 1.2%
Caroline Grin 4.3% 7.9% 8.4% 10.4% 11.4% 15.0% 14.5% 14.4% 10.0% 3.7%
Cecilia Patrick 1.2% 2.1% 2.2% 3.1% 3.7% 6.4% 9.0% 11.7% 18.8% 41.8%
Kate Crannell 3.3% 2.7% 4.3% 4.2% 7.7% 9.0% 12.7% 19.2% 20.0% 16.9%
Emily Williams 2.7% 3.9% 5.9% 5.8% 5.6% 10.5% 12.1% 18.4% 20.4% 14.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.