Race 4A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Billy Vogel 25.7% 23.4% 16.9% 12.7% 9.5% 5.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Jack Viscuso 11.5% 12.7% 14.7% 14.0% 13.7% 12.8% 10.3% 6.8% 3.2% 0.3%
Joseph Gallagher 21.6% 20.8% 17.7% 14.3% 12.4% 7.5% 3.7% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Brittany Shabino 7.9% 11.4% 12.1% 13.0% 15.4% 14.4% 11.5% 7.9% 5.0% 1.4%
Caroline Grin 6.9% 8.1% 7.4% 9.6% 11.2% 14.6% 15.2% 14.6% 8.9% 3.5%
Luke Koerschner 16.7% 13.3% 15.7% 16.6% 13.5% 9.5% 8.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.3%
Kate Crannell 2.5% 2.0% 4.7% 4.9% 7.0% 9.1% 14.9% 17.4% 19.5% 18.0%
Emily Williams 3.1% 3.4% 4.6% 6.8% 8.0% 9.7% 12.6% 17.4% 20.1% 14.3%
Edwin Becker 2.7% 3.3% 4.0% 3.9% 6.4% 11.0% 10.9% 16.7% 22.5% 18.6%
Cecilia Patrick 1.4% 1.6% 2.2% 4.2% 2.9% 5.6% 8.5% 11.2% 18.9% 43.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.