Race 5A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brittany Shabino 9.9% 10.9% 12.3% 12.7% 13.5% 13.8% 11.7% 9.1% 4.6% 1.5%
Joseph Gallagher 22.0% 20.5% 16.6% 16.0% 10.1% 8.0% 4.9% 1.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Caroline Grin 7.0% 6.6% 8.0% 8.3% 11.7% 14.0% 17.6% 14.1% 8.5% 4.2%
Jack Viscuso 11.1% 13.6% 14.0% 14.1% 15.1% 12.7% 10.5% 5.3% 2.8% 0.8%
Luke Koerschner 15.1% 14.9% 16.1% 16.0% 13.9% 10.7% 6.6% 4.5% 1.8% 0.4%
Billy Vogel 25.7% 22.3% 16.6% 13.6% 11.6% 6.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
Emily Williams 2.7% 2.6% 4.7% 6.5% 6.9% 10.4% 13.3% 19.0% 19.7% 14.2%
Cecilia Patrick 1.1% 1.7% 2.8% 2.8% 4.7% 5.4% 8.1% 11.9% 18.9% 42.6%
Kate Crannell 3.0% 3.3% 4.2% 5.5% 6.4% 9.6% 12.3% 17.6% 20.8% 17.3%
Edwin Becker 2.4% 3.6% 4.7% 4.5% 6.1% 9.0% 12.6% 16.0% 22.4% 18.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.