Race 6A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Billy Vogel 26.1% 22.4% 16.8% 12.4% 11.5% 5.8% 3.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.4%
Jack Viscuso 11.7% 12.7% 14.5% 12.6% 15.6% 11.9% 11.0% 7.4% 2.1% 0.5%
Joseph Gallagher 22.1% 20.0% 16.7% 16.6% 12.0% 6.1% 4.2% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Brittany Shabino 8.0% 11.1% 12.9% 12.2% 14.6% 14.6% 10.9% 10.2% 4.7% 0.8%
Cecilia Patrick 1.8% 2.2% 3.2% 3.2% 4.2% 4.9% 8.2% 11.3% 19.9% 41.1%
Luke Koerschner 17.0% 13.1% 14.4% 17.8% 11.3% 11.8% 8.3% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
Emily Williams 2.8% 2.3% 5.2% 6.2% 6.7% 11.0% 14.5% 15.0% 21.5% 14.8%
Caroline Grin 5.5% 9.3% 7.8% 9.6% 10.9% 13.9% 16.0% 14.4% 9.0% 3.6%
Edwin Becker 2.6% 3.2% 3.7% 4.4% 6.5% 10.7% 10.5% 17.5% 21.8% 19.1%
Kate Crannell 2.4% 3.7% 4.8% 5.0% 6.7% 9.3% 13.3% 17.0% 18.6% 19.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.