Race 7A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Gallagher 23.3% 21.9% 15.7% 13.8% 10.8% 7.4% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Billy Vogel 25.4% 21.0% 18.1% 14.0% 10.5% 5.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Brittany Shabino 9.4% 9.1% 11.4% 12.0% 15.0% 16.0% 13.0% 8.0% 5.1% 1.0%
Luke Koerschner 12.9% 16.2% 16.2% 14.6% 14.6% 11.8% 7.8% 4.3% 1.2% 0.4%
Kate Crannell 3.4% 4.0% 3.9% 5.9% 6.6% 7.6% 12.1% 19.3% 21.2% 16.0%
Cecilia Patrick 1.9% 2.3% 2.4% 3.1% 3.8% 4.8% 7.3% 12.2% 19.7% 42.5%
Caroline Grin 5.8% 6.0% 9.4% 10.0% 11.6% 14.4% 15.9% 14.6% 8.7% 3.6%
Emily Williams 3.2% 2.9% 5.3% 6.0% 7.6% 10.6% 14.5% 14.6% 18.6% 16.7%
Edwin Becker 3.1% 2.3% 4.7% 5.2% 5.8% 10.3% 11.9% 16.1% 21.7% 18.9%
Jack Viscuso 11.6% 14.3% 12.9% 15.4% 13.7% 11.3% 10.2% 7.1% 2.6% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.