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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+4.20vs Predicted
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2Arizona State University0.99+3.25vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.70+3.19vs Predicted
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4Washington University0.67+2.15vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.68+1.23vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University0.14+1.64vs Predicted
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7Marquette University1.26-2.41vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas-0.03+0.50vs Predicted
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9Purdue University0.80-3.15vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.22-2.51vs Predicted
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11Northern Michigan University-0.15-2.25vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota-0.33-2.96vs Predicted
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13Hope College-0.57-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2University of Wisconsin1.1411.5%1st Place
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5.25Arizona State University0.9911.7%1st Place
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6.19University of Wisconsin0.709.7%1st Place
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6.15Washington University0.679.2%1st Place
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6.23Northwestern University0.688.9%1st Place
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7.64Texas A&M University0.144.5%1st Place
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4.59Marquette University1.2615.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Saint Thomas-0.033.9%1st Place
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5.85Purdue University0.8010.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Michigan0.226.2%1st Place
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8.75Northern Michigan University-0.153.5%1st Place
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9.04University of Minnesota-0.334.0%1st Place
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10.13Hope College-0.571.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
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Charlie Herrick | 11.5% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Juan Casal | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
Mary Castellini | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
Wyatt Tait | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
Nicholas Chesemore | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
Cole Broberg | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
Eric Brieden | 15.0% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Rakesh Dhiman | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 11.7% |
Sam Childers | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Alden Gort | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.6% |
Marco Constantini | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 15.0% |
Hayden Johansen | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 17.5% |
Jack Rutherford | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.