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📊 Prediction Accuracy
7.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.6
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.78+10.76vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.50+6.17vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+3.65vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University2.20+11.34vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.92+6.08vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida4.17-0.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego2.19+8.54vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon2.76+3.44vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.87+2.33vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.69-2.81vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+2.56vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California3.16-2.72vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands1.09+7.27vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego1.78+2.38vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley2.60-3.08vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay2.30-2.55vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis2.13-2.12vs Predicted
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19University of Hawaii3.36-10.16vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-1.98vs Predicted
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22Western Washington University2.02-5.56vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley1.18-2.04vs Predicted
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24University of Texas1.46-4.26vs Predicted
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25University of Oregon1.22-4.15vs Predicted
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26University of California at Irvine2.83-14.15vs Predicted
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27Western Washington University1.88-9.93vs Predicted
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28University of Puget Sound1.26-7.84vs Predicted
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29University of California at Los Angeles1.72-11.08vs Predicted
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31Purdue University0.21-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.780.0%1st Place
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8.17Stanford University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.65California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
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15.34Santa Clara University2.200.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
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5.34University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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15.54University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Washington2.870.0%1st Place
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7.19Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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13.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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21.27California State University Channel Islands1.090.0%1st Place
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17.38University of California at San Diego1.780.0%1st Place
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12.92University of California at Berkeley2.600.0%1st Place
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14.45California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
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15.88University of California at Davis2.130.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Hawaii3.360.1%1st Place
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18.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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16.44Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
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20.96University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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19.74University of Texas1.460.0%1st Place
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20.85University of Oregon1.220.0%1st Place
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11.85University of California at Irvine2.830.0%1st Place
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17.07Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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20.16University of Puget Sound1.260.0%1st Place
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17.92University of California at Los Angeles1.720.0%1st Place
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24.56Purdue University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Foster | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nick Dugdale | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kelly | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Zachary Hester | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 13.0% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Elliot Drake | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keely Scates | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Domingos | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 12.4% |
| Alicia Bernhard | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Cody Shevitz | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Schoch | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Michael Lazzaro | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Maher | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Bryan Rust | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Megan Hayes | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.0% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% |
| Cara Kuhlman | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.6% |
| Jack Porter | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Mike Knape | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% |
| Carmen Bozina | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| George Halsted | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.