Race 8A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Billy Vogel 25.7% 22.9% 16.3% 12.1% 10.4% 6.2% 4.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Luke Koerschner 13.8% 15.8% 15.7% 15.9% 13.0% 11.0% 7.7% 5.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Brittany Shabino 9.9% 9.3% 11.4% 11.9% 13.8% 15.5% 13.9% 8.6% 4.4% 1.3%
Joseph Gallagher 21.3% 20.9% 18.2% 16.3% 10.8% 5.8% 3.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Jack Viscuso 12.6% 12.2% 13.5% 15.4% 15.1% 12.5% 9.4% 5.6% 3.2% 0.5%
Emily Williams 4.4% 4.3% 4.3% 5.2% 6.8% 9.9% 13.9% 16.1% 19.8% 15.3%
Caroline Grin 5.1% 7.2% 9.2% 9.5% 12.5% 14.6% 15.6% 13.1% 9.7% 3.5%
Edwin Becker 2.9% 2.7% 5.0% 5.1% 6.3% 9.7% 11.0% 18.6% 21.1% 17.6%
Kate Crannell 2.7% 3.4% 4.3% 5.8% 6.9% 9.4% 12.3% 16.5% 21.1% 17.6%
Cecilia Patrick 1.6% 1.3% 2.1% 2.8% 4.4% 5.4% 8.3% 11.9% 18.7% 43.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.