Race 9A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Billy Vogel 26.2% 21.6% 18.9% 10.2% 11.0% 6.8% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Joseph Gallagher 22.7% 20.8% 16.6% 14.5% 12.0% 6.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Jack Viscuso 11.8% 12.1% 12.7% 14.9% 14.6% 14.7% 10.6% 5.7% 2.3% 0.6%
Brittany Shabino 8.5% 10.5% 11.7% 14.9% 14.3% 13.3% 12.6% 8.4% 4.4% 1.4%
Luke Koerschner 14.5% 15.9% 14.7% 18.0% 13.1% 9.7% 7.4% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5%
Edwin Becker 3.8% 3.1% 4.5% 5.2% 4.8% 8.7% 13.2% 16.4% 21.0% 19.3%
Emily Williams 2.7% 2.8% 5.2% 5.9% 6.5% 11.0% 13.6% 18.1% 19.4% 14.8%
Kate Crannell 2.8% 3.2% 5.1% 4.8% 7.1% 10.3% 12.5% 16.2% 19.9% 18.1%
Cecilia Patrick 1.8% 1.2% 2.2% 2.9% 3.9% 4.9% 7.8% 14.5% 20.1% 40.7%
Caroline Grin 5.2% 8.8% 8.4% 8.7% 12.7% 14.1% 15.2% 12.7% 9.8% 4.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.