Race 10A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Gallagher 23.7% 19.9% 18.3% 13.6% 9.7% 9.3% 3.6% 0.8% 1.0% 0.1%
Luke Koerschner 15.0% 15.6% 15.5% 13.9% 14.3% 11.3% 8.1% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3%
Caroline Grin 5.9% 7.0% 7.3% 9.2% 11.0% 13.5% 17.4% 16.2% 8.4% 4.1%
Edwin Becker 1.4% 3.5% 3.6% 5.3% 7.1% 10.1% 11.9% 17.9% 21.5% 17.7%
Jack Viscuso 13.4% 12.4% 13.5% 14.2% 15.0% 13.9% 10.1% 4.6% 1.9% 1.0%
Cecilia Patrick 1.9% 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 5.0% 4.6% 7.9% 12.8% 17.8% 42.7%
Emily Williams 3.0% 3.1% 3.7% 6.4% 5.8% 11.8% 13.2% 17.4% 20.7% 14.9%
Billy Vogel 24.7% 21.6% 19.2% 15.1% 9.8% 5.1% 3.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Kate Crannell 2.9% 3.1% 4.9% 5.1% 7.7% 7.7% 13.3% 15.7% 22.0% 17.6%
Brittany Shabino 8.1% 11.7% 11.7% 14.3% 14.6% 12.7% 11.3% 9.1% 4.9% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.